Gastroenterology: 一种可以预测顽固性胃灼热或食管外反流是否需要pH监测的模型

2018-12-09 MedSci MedSci原创

目前尚不清楚我们是否应该对顽固性胃灼热或食管外反流(EER)症状(如咳嗽,声音嘶哑或哮喘)患者的反流进行检测。目前的指南建议基于预测试反流概率的酸抑制疗法来开启或关闭pH监测。因此,研究人员试图开发一种临床医生可以在床边使用的模型来估计异常反流的概率。

背景与目的
目前尚不清楚我们是否应该对顽固性灼热或食管外反流(EER)症状(如咳嗽,声音嘶哑或哮喘)患者的反流进行检测。目前的指南建议基于预测试反流概率的酸抑制疗法来开启或关闭pH监测。因此,研究人员试图开发一种临床医生可以在床边使用的模型来估计异常反流的概率。

方法
研究人员对471名患有顽固性灼热(n = 214)或疑似有EER症状(n = 257)的成年患者进行了一项前瞻性研究,这些患者在进行酸抑制治疗时接受了无线pH监测的内镜检查,并根据症状将其分配到各组。研究人员在另一组118名具有相同特征的患者中验证了这个模型(62%的女性;中位年龄59岁; 62%的患者出现咳嗽的症状)。

结果
在56%的胃灼热患者和63%的EER患者中发现异常的pH(P= .15)。在EER组中,与咳嗽(60%)或声音嘶哑(51%;P<.01)的患者相比,在哮喘患者中检测到异常的pH值更高(80%)。与胃灼热患者的pH异常显着相关的因素是存在食管裂孔疝和体重指数> 25 kg / m2。在EER患者中,反流风险与伴随胃灼热的存在独立相关(OR=2.0; 95%[CI] 1.3-3.1),体重指数> 25 kg / m2(OR= 2.1; 95%CI 1.5-3.1),哮喘(OR 2.0; 95%CI 1.2-3.5),以及食管裂孔疝的存在(OR 1.9; 95%CI 1.2-3.1)。当我们使用这些因素来创建评分系统时,我们发现≤2的评分排除了中度至重度反流患者,发现队列中阴性预测值为80%,验证队列中阴性预测值为85%。

结论
研究人员开发了一种临床模型来估计质子泵抑制剂治疗失败的患者的异常pH值的预测概率。该系统可以帮助指导临床医生在这个具有挑战性的患者群体中确定是否需要pH监测。

原始出处:

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    2019-11-20 许安
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    2018-12-11 zhouqu_8
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    2018-12-11 feifers
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    2018-12-09 CHANGE

    梅斯里提供了很多疾病的模型计算公式,赞一个!

    0

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