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Subseasonal Forecast of Surface Air Temperature Using Superensemble Approaches: Experiments over Northeast Asia for 2018

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (1)

Bridging the gap between weather forecasting and climate prediction, subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts are of great importance yet currently of ......

Assimilation of Radial Velocity from Coastal NEXRAD into HWRF for Improved Forecasts of Landfalling Hurricanes

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (2)

The benefits of assimilating Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) radial velocity data for convective systems have been demonstrated in previous stu......

Operational Precipitation Forecast over China Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at a Gray-Zone Resolution: Impact of Convection Parameterization

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (3)

The quantitative precipitation forecast in the 9-km operational modeling system (without the use of a convection parameterization scheme) at the Shang......

Initial Perturbations Based on Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter with Rescaling Method for Ensemble Forecasting

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (3)

Ensemble forecasting is a method to faithfully describe initial and model uncertainties in a weather forecasting system. Initial uncertainties are muc......

Classification of Precipitation Type in North China Using Model-Based Explicit Fields of Hydrometeors with Modified Thermodynamic Conditions

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (1)

The ability to forecast thermodynamic conditions aloft and near the surface is critical to the accurate forecasting of precipitation type at the surfa......

Correction of Monthly SST Forecasts in CFSv2 Using the Local Dynamical Analog Method

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (3)

Numerical seasonal forecasts in Earth science always contain forecast errors that cannot be eliminated by improving the ability of the numerical model......

A Simulated Radar Reflectivity Calculation Method in Numerical Weather Prediction Models

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (1)

The simulated radar reflectivity used by current mesoscale numerical weather prediction models can reflect the grid precipitation but cannot reflect t......

Evaluation of ECMWF Precipitation Predictions in China during 2015-18

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (3)

Precipitation forecasts from the ECMWF model from March to September during 2015-18 were evaluated using observed precipitation at 2411 stations from ......

Identifying the Development of a Tropical Depression into a Tropical Storm over the South China Sea

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (4)

Tropical depressions formed over the South China Sea usually produce severe flooding and wind damage when they develop into a storm and make landfall.......

WRF Model Moisture Adjustment Method: A Case Study with Wintertime Cloudy Biases in Xinjiang, China

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2021; 36 (2)

For most locations on Earth the ability of a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model to accurately simulate surface irradiance relies heavily on the ......

Monsoonal Influences on Offshore Rapid Intensification of Landfalling Typhoons in a Sheared Environment over the South China Sea

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2020; 35 (2)

Tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the western North Pacific and South China Sea can undergo rapid intensification (RI) shortly before making landfall ......

A Subjective and Objective Evaluation of Model Forecasts of Sumatra Squall Events

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2020; 35 (2)

Sumatra squalls are important rain-bearing weather systems that affect Singapore and southern Peninsular Malaysia. The performance of forecasts for 63......

Assessment of the Forecast Skill of Multiphysics and Multistochastic Methods within the GRAPES Regional Ensemble Prediction System in the East Asian Monsoon Region

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2020; 35 (3)

To more comprehensively and accurately address model uncertainties in the East Asia monsoon region, a single-physics suite, where each ensemble member......

Improvement in the Forecasting of Heavy Rainfall over South China in the DSAEF_LTP Model by Introducing the Intensity of the Tropical Cyclone

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2020; 35 (5)

The intensity of the tropical cyclone has been introduced into the Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast (DSAEF) for Landfalling Typhoon (or ......

On the Construction Principle of Conceptual Models for Severe Convective Weather Forecasting Operations in China

期刊: WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2020; 35 (1)

It is argued here that even with the development of objective algorithms, convection-allowing numerical models, and artificial intelligence/machine le......

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