2021年12月4日简报:奥密克戎可能不是魔鬼,而是圣诞礼物,虽然传染性超强;南非感染人数暴增,但是重症人数反而下降

2021-12-04 MedSci整理 MedSci整理

截至北京时间2021年12月4日7时01分,Worldometers世界实时统计数据显示,全球累计确诊新冠肺炎(COVID-19)病例超过2亿6512万例,新增674,025例,达到265,128,9

截至北京时间2021年12月4日7时01分,Worldometers世界实时统计数据显示,全球累计确诊新冠肺炎COVID-19)病例超过2亿6512万例,新增674,025例,达到265,128,915例。累计死亡病例525.7万例,达到5,257,261例。新增死亡为7,167例。康复为238,854,361例,重症和危重症病人达到86,650例;全球新冠确诊病例超过100万例的国家达40个,112个国家病例超10万例。昨日报道:2021年12月3日简报:新冠病毒奥密克戎(Omicron)变种可能是好事,或将加速终结新冠疫情,目前Omicron变种感染者均为轻症

全球虽然感染人数有所上升,而且随着奥密克戎蔓延,未来新增病例可能会进一步上升。但是好消息是,重症患者连续2天出现下降。一方面可能是疫苗的作用,另一方面,可能与全球加强封锁也有一定的关系。同时,从最近几天的奥密克戎的消息来看,奥密克戎可能不一定是魔鬼,甚至是福音。如果奥密克戎感染后症状轻微,意味着,奥密克戎接管德尔塔后,全球将迎来转机。奥密克戎将进化为普通感冒(实际上普通感冒病毒中,很大一部分就是冠状病毒)。当然,仍然需要一周,甚至10天左右的观察时间。

南非从日感染300人到1万人,只用了一周时间,但重症人数持续下降

奥密克戎的传染性确实十分强烈,南非从日感染300人到1万人,只用了一周时间。

但是重症人数而言,在11月26-29日时,南非有重症患者688例,而昨天仅546例,说明重症人数在下降中。奥密克戎在南非已暴发一周时间,但是,重症人数却出现下降,说明起初南非医生的观察,奥密克戎引发症状相对轻微可能是正确的。

当然,还需要接下来一周的观察,奥密克戎是魔鬼还是福音,答案可能很快就会揭晓。

280万人大型研究:曾感染新冠,也难逃Omicron变种感染

自Omicron变种得到广泛关注,已经过去了一周多的时间。在这段时间里,诸多科学家都火力全开,想要了解这种变种的出现,对于疫情究竟意味着什么。几个小时前,来自南非的一支科研团队在预印本网站medRxiv上发表最新发现,指出该变种与先前感染后的免疫逃逸具有相关性。换句话说,即便先前曾感染过新冠病毒,所产生的免疫力可能也不足以完全抵抗新出现的Omicron变种。

先前,南非的医疗专家们估计其国家的6000万人口里,大约有70%曾感染过新冠病毒。然而在最新的Omicron变种面前,南非又似乎是个重灾区。因此科学家们想知道,这种新出现的变种,是否能击穿人体因为感染而产生的免疫力。

为了回答这个问题,研究人员们回溯了2020年3月4日到2021年11月27日的新冠样本,从中挑选出约280万名确诊感染新冠的个体。他们在今年11月27日的至少90天前呈现测试结果阳性,表明感染的极大可能是Omicron变种之前出现的新冠病毒。

然后,研究人员们寻找间隔90天以上的阳性记录。比如有一名个体在2020年3月检测阳性,在2020年12月又检测阳性,那么研究人员们就认为这名个体是重复感染了新冠。

至少38个国家和地区出现奥密克戎

3日,世卫组织表示,新冠变异毒株奥密克戎已在至少38个国家和地区出现。世卫科学家称,目前全世界的感染病例99%都是德尔塔毒株,对于奥密克戎毒株的了解仍不够全面,无法预测奥密克戎是否会取代德尔塔成为主要流行的变异株。

从美国的新冠增长曲线来看,奥密克戎毒株可能已在美国开始流行

最近3日,美国新增人数快速上升,如果按delta病毒来看,应该不会如此大幅度上升。说明奥密克戎毒株可能已在美国开始流行。接下来一周,需要观察美国的重症人数的变化。确实在美国多州,奥密克戎上升趋势明显。

美国已有5个州发现奥密克戎毒株感染者

据《今日美国》当地时间12月3日报道,全美已经在5个州发现新冠变异病毒奥密克戎毒株感染者,这5个州分别是纽约州、加州、夏威夷、明尼苏达州和科罗拉多州。

据明尼苏达州的卫生官员表示,该州发现的感染者是在纽约市参加了动漫2021年大会后的第二天开始出现症状,随后被确诊感染奥密克戎毒株,卫生部门正努力追踪11月19日至21日动漫大会期间的与会者,此次大会吸引了约5万人。

美疾控中心:奥密克戎毒株或将成为在美传播的主导新冠毒株

当地时间12月3日,美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)主任罗谢尔·瓦伦斯基表示,美国目前最大的担忧仍是占主导地位的新冠变异病毒德尔塔毒株,但奥密克戎毒株可能不久将成为在美国传播的主导新冠毒株。

瓦伦斯基表示,美国现在每天新增约8.6万例新冠肺炎确诊病例,其中99.9%感染的是德尔塔毒株。由于奥密克戎毒株可能比德尔塔毒株更具传播性,所以奥密克戎毒株很可能会成为美国的主导毒株。但这一点尚不清楚,美国仍在进行测序工作中。

瓦伦斯基督促美国民众尽快接种新冠疫苗及加强针,并遵守其他防疫规定以对抗德尔塔毒株。她表示,这些措施很有可能也可以防御奥密克戎毒株。目前,美国已有七个州确认发现奥密克戎毒株感染病例,其中明尼苏达州一名居民在接种新冠疫苗加强针后仍被感染

世卫组织呼吁各国勿因奥密克戎毒株陷入恐慌

奥密克戎毒株蔓延至全球多国和地区,世界卫生组织首席科学家苏米娅·斯瓦米纳坦当地时间3日接受采访时表示,“奥密克戎毒株”具有高传染性,但她认为人们需要的是做好准备、小心应对,而不是陷入恐慌。

斯瓦米纳坦说,目前全世界的感染病例99%都是“德尔塔毒株”,而对于“奥密克戎毒株”的了解仍不够全面,因此无法预测“奥密克戎毒株”是否会取代“德尔塔毒株”成为主要流行的新冠病毒变异株。同时,对于是否应使新冠疫苗更加针对“奥密克戎毒株”,现在也还言之过早。

斯瓦米纳坦呼吁人们不要因出现新的变异株而陷入恐慌,“因为现在与一年前相比,情况已有所不同”。

世卫组织:目前没有证据支持为奥密克戎研发新的疫苗

据联合早报消息,世界卫生组织应急专家瑞安(Mike Ryan)表示,目前尚无证据支持改变现有疫苗使其能够对抗奥密克戎变异毒株。

瑞安周五(12月3日)在一次社交媒体活动上说,不过,如果需要的话,研制针对奥密克戎毒株的疫苗,这项工作已经在进行中。

他说:“现在,我们有非常有效的疫苗正在发挥作用。我们需要专注于使它们得到更公平的分配,并且让最有风险的人接种疫苗。”

世卫组织周五早些时候表示,仍在研究奥密克戎的传播性和严重性。

南非科学家:疫苗仍能抵抗奥密克戎,但康复者有更高的感染风险

南非一位著名科学家表示,与之前感染早期新冠病毒毒株相比,新冠疫苗能对奥密克戎提供更好的保护。

南非国家传染病研究所的微生物学家Anne von Gottberg在世界卫生组织组织的一次在线简报会上说:"但我们认为以前的感染并不能提供对奥密克戎的保护。

Gottberg补充说,由于奥密克戎的出现,南非再感染的情况显著。

南非人没有恐慌生活如常

截至12月2日,奥密克戎已经在六大洲25个国家被发现。专家们指出,它将很快出现在地球上每一个有人类的角落。而这意味着一个已经被新冠疫情打击了长达两年、并刚刚看到复苏希望的世界,又迎来一波疫情。

欧洲现在就已经发现了数百个奥密克戎感染病例,其迅速传播也引发了疫情期将延长的担心。欧洲疾病预防与控制中心(ECDC)12月2日的报告指出,早期证据表明奥密克戎“可能比德尔塔毒株还有明显的增长趋势”。

不过,在南非最大的城市约翰内斯堡,餐馆和超市依旧人满为患。圣诞节和新年将接踵而至,人们在谈论着新毒株,但目前为止几乎没有恐慌。科学家们也指出没有必要恐慌。

奥密克戎或是“提前降临的圣诞礼物”

病毒学专家Yves Van Laethem近日在比利时报纸DH上表示,若像南非专家所说,奥密克戎变种毒性减轻,那么,它的出现“可能是好消息”:

若毒性较轻的新变种能取代德尔塔变种,让未接种疫苗者通过良性感染达到免疫,这无疑是一份出乎意料的圣诞大礼。毕竟如果病人只是感冒发低烧,就没那么严重了。

南非医学协会(South African Medical Association)主席库切(Angelique Coetzee)此前表示,在自己治疗的三十多名感染奥密克戎变种的新冠病人中,大部分为40岁以下男性,近半数已接种新冠疫苗。患者主要病征是感到极度疲乏,伴随全身肌肉酸痛、干咳或“嗓子痒”等症状,只有个别患者发低烧,未接种疫苗的感染者也只是轻症。

 

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    2022-02-22 xzw113
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    2021-12-18 ms2000000160907340

    学习知识

    0

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    2021-12-05 hongbochen
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    2021-12-04 ms7000000921377921

    66

    0

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    2021-12-04 ms9000000234791328

    那为什么日本和以色列闭关锁国

    1

    展开1条回复
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    2021-12-04 ms7000000534628110

    学习了

    0

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    2021-12-04 再造人

    #再造人# 是为了改造人类?

    0

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    2021-12-04 病毒猎手

    福所祸兮!

    0

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    2021-12-04 ms6000001905122705

    传染性和毒力本来就是矛盾的

    0

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    2021-12-04 黑咖

    这是已经开始共存了么?

    0

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