2018年全球医疗行业十大趋势预测:机器人手术和护理将受宠

2017-12-28 罗锐(编译) 健康界

2018年,数字医疗技术和人工智能、移动医疗、可穿戴设备、远程医疗、大数据分析及机器人等解决方案将大放异彩;区块链等高不可攀的技术将走下神坛,从研究和概念证明转向可行的医疗保健和临床应用。

2018年,数字医疗技术和人工智能、移动医疗、可穿戴设备、远程医疗、大数据分析及机器人等解决方案将大放异彩;区块链等高不可攀的技术将走下神坛,从研究和概念证明转向可行的医疗保健和临床应用。

据国际著名市场研究公司Frost & Sullivan的医疗转型部门(Transformational Health)预测,虽然政治环境动荡,成本压力不断上升,但2018年全球医疗健康行业仍将保持稳定增长态势,医疗产品年收入将超过1.85万亿美元大关。

2017年,数字医疗投资超过65亿美元,同比增长109%。Frost & Sullivan认为,由于创新性技术和平台解决方案不断涌现,有利于提升护理质量、治疗结果和慢性病管理,所以2018年的数字医疗投资将持续增长。此外,新兴市场的高增长将改变医疗产品开发和地域推广的范式。

以下是Frost & Sullivan对2018年全球医疗健康业十大趋势盘点:

一、“服务即产品”的解决方案将成为在医疗领域取得竞争优势的有力工具

“**即服务”的模式将发挥更大作用,成为医疗行业可持续发展的新收入来源。在未来两三年内,主要制药公司和医疗服务提供公司总收入中的2%-3%将来自“服务+”模式。

随着业务模式向“平台即服务”和“数据即服务”的转变,企业通过信息技术实现业务预期,那么资金、支出和收入也会继续从资本性支出变为运营成本。“让数据说话”将成为创新的新源泉。对于“按治疗结果付费”的医疗保险来说,智能解决方案和服务实现了差异化医疗。未来,这种以提供服务获得收入的业务模式,能让终端用户更加明白医疗的价值。

二、云端成为跨行业合作的核心平台

随着医疗数据越来越庞大复杂,云端将成为核心平台。医疗数据在云端存储灵活,能覆盖到所有利益攸关方。预计到2018年,全球医疗云计算市场份额将超过50亿美元,有望在2017年到2022年这段时间里增长约24%。

此外,基于价值的医疗需求日益增长,精准医学概念渐入人心,部署可扩展云平台势在必行。通过可扩展云平台整合各种医疗数据集,医疗机构间可加强合作,创建新型护理模式(例如远程医疗和家庭护理)并制定切实可行的分析解决方案。

三、大型科技企业将获得高收益

2018年,旨在快速跟踪数字治疗和健康应用程序的“FDA计划”(FDA program),将极大地促进苹果、Verily(谷歌旗下的生命科学公司)、三星和Fitbit等非传统企业,参与医疗市场竞争。

此外,医疗业要真正践行“患者至上”和“勇于创新”,就需要同IT业和零售业的发展基本保持一致,通过技术和最行之有效的业务模式取胜。

四、虚拟测试和远程临床试验不断增加 效率提升和患者至上成为医疗重心

在降低测试成本、简化测试流程和展示真实效能方面,可穿戴设备和智能手机APP数据的应用和整合,很早就展现出极大优势。全球约20%的临床试验将通过虚拟实现,因为在未来一年到一年半的时间里,移动医疗解决方案将获得飞速发展。随着“自带设备办公”模式的普及,原先在临床研究中不受重视的移动医疗和可穿戴设备等技术,不仅会获得生机,还将迅速成为标准。

五、院内机器人手术和护理将普及

老年患者的治疗及康复水平亟待提高,护理人员日益短缺,都将增大对全球护理援助的需求。2018年,医疗自动化及医疗机器人市场将超过16亿美元。随着市场竞争加剧,合适的机器人技术类型加上恰当的合作,才是在医疗市场中拔取头筹、获得发展的关键。预计到2025年,80%的手术将由机器人实施。

六、亚太国家率先实施智能医院项目

包括智慧城市概念在内的数字进步和市场趋势,正促使医院变得“智能”。到2018年,韩国、澳大利亚、新加坡和马来西亚将拥有智能病床约3200张。但是,互操作性和网络安全仍是实施智能医院解决方案的主要障碍。

七、企业受到网络攻击的数量将翻倍

随着医疗行业的信息数字化程度越来越高,医疗行业日渐成为网络犯罪的多发区。一旦遭到网络安全攻击,一家经营医疗技术或消费类设备的企业就可能面临高达数百万美元的损失。因此,政府、卫生部门和医疗器械原设备制造商必须加大合作力度,建立发布指导方针和披露制造商信息的长效机制,提高风险防范意识,制定风险管理解决方案。

八、激励性健康保险计划将得到普及

根据产业预测,全球约52%的劳动人员体重超重,76%的人存在健康问题。但是,全球仅有9%的劳动力参与了企业或雇主提供的健康计划,而且还是对雇主做了硬性要求才得以实现。

因此,以“看数据、缴保险”为特点的前瞻性激励机制,将在2018年成为投保人与保险公司合作的标准模式,推动全球开展健康计划。例如,南亚的Vitality和“保诚”(Prudential,曾推出健康新概念“myDNA营养基因测试”)、非洲的Discovery公司、美国的联合健康集团 (UnitedHealth Group,与“高通生命”合作推出UnitedHealthcare Motion项目)和Oscar等商业保险公司,将引领全球健康保险计划。

九、人工智能将成为影像诊断的主流

人工智能可以实现流程自动化,提升流程效率,提高诊断准确度,将在医学影像中发挥主要作用。人工智能平台具备很强的学习能力,运用于医疗影像诊断的各个流程后,将增加放射科医生的工作量,促使生产率提升10-15%。同时,使用人工智能平台后,筛查结果准确度将有望在未来两三年里提高。

十、区块链技术进入实际应用

虽然医疗领域的区块链技术还相对不成熟,但企业间B2B网络的早期尝试,能有力地说明区块链技术的潜力。例如,在2018年,最先实施的区块链解决方案将对保险索赔管理、清算所、收入周期管理外包供应商生态系统等,进行早期预测。此外,对于医疗业的ICO(首次硬币发行)或代币交易活动来说,2018年将是打破医疗业常规、赋权医疗产品消费者的激动人心的一年。

参考资料:

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    2017-12-28 虈亣靌

    客观性.公正性.讲得很不错

    0