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Directed graphs and variable selection in large vector autoregressive models

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (2)

We represent the dynamic relation among variables in vector autoregressive (VAR) models as directed graphs. Based on these graphs, we identify so-call......

Student-t stochastic volatility model with composite likelihood EM-algorithm

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (1)

A new robust stochastic volatility (SV) model having Student-t marginals is proposed. Our process is defined through a linear normal regression model ......

FACTOR MODELS FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL FUNCTIONAL TIME SERIES I: REPRESENTATION RESULTS

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (5-6)

In this article, which consists of two parts (Part I: representation results; Part II: estimation and forecasting methods), we set up the theoretical ......

SOME RECENT TRENDS IN EMBEDDINGS OF TIME SERIES AND DYNAMIC NETWORKS

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (5-6)

We give a review of some recent developments in embeddings of time series and dynamic networks. We start out with traditional principal components and......

Higher-order asymptotics of minimax estimators for time series

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (2)

We consider the minimax estimation of time series in view of higher-order asymptotic theory. Under the framework of Bayesian inference, we focus on th......

Granger causality tests based on reduced variable information

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; ()

Granger causality is a classical and important technique for measuring predictability from one group of time series to another by incorporating inform......

NON-PARAMETRIC SHORT- AND LONG-RUN GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTING IN THE FREQUENCY DOMAIN

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (1)

Herein, we propose a novel non-parametric frequency Granger causality test. We apply a filtering process in the time domain to remove possible spuriou......

Seasonal count time series

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (1)

Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This article uses a ......

A nonparametric predictive regression model using partitioning estimators based on Taylor expansions

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (3)

This article proposes a nonparametric predictive regression model. The unknown function modeling the predictive relationship is approximated using pol......

REGULAR MULTIDIMENSIONALSTATIONARY TIME SERIES (vol 43, pg 263, 2022)

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (3)

In Theorem 2.1 which was the main result of the article it was implicitly assumed that for any regular d-dimensional weakly stationary time series {X-......

Regime switching models for circular and linear time series

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (4)

The score-driven approach to time series modelling is able to handle circular data and switching regimes with intra-regime dynamics. Furthermore it en......

Geometric ergodicity and conditional self-weighted M-estimator of a GRCAR(p) model with heavy-tailed errors

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (4)

We establish the geometric ergodicity for general stochastic functional autoregressive (linear and nonlinear) models with heavy-tailed errors. The sta......

OPTIMAL ESTIMATING FUNCTION FOR WEAK LOCATION-SCALE DYNAMIC MODELS

期刊: JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, 2023; 44 (5-6)

Estimating functions provide a very general framework for the statistical inference of dynamic models under weak assumptions. We consider a class of t......

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