Ann Rheum Dis:类风湿性关节炎患者甲氨蝶呤治疗反应不足的临床预测因子

2018-05-15 xiangting MedSci原创

在DMARD初治的新发RA患者中,更高的DAS28、目前吸烟和不饮酒是对“MTX+”升阶梯疗法反应不足的预测因子。

这项研究旨在识别和验证新诊断的类风湿性关节炎(RA)患者与甲氨蝶呤(MTX)治疗反应不足(IR)相关的临床基线预测因子。

在U-Act-Early中,将108名疾病改善抗风湿药物(DMARD)初治的RA患者随机分为初始MTX治疗组和靶向治疗组,直到持续缓解(28关节疾病活动评分(DAS28)<2.6,肿胀关节小于4个≥24周)。如果没有缓解,治疗方案中加入羟氯喹(即"MTX+"),如果此后目标仍然没有达到,则替换为托珠单抗。使用回归分析以识别IR的临床预测因子,IR定义为需要添加生物性DMARD至"MTX+"。使用来自鹿特丹早期关节炎队列的治疗数据对预测模型进行外部验证。

1年内,U-Act-Early的56/108(52%)名患者对"MTX+"为IR。DAS28(调整OR(OR adj)2.1,95%CI 1.4-3.2),目前吸烟(OR adj 3.02,95%CI 1.1-8.0)和饮酒(OR adj 0.4,95%CI 0.1-0.9)被确定为基线预测因子。预测模型的受试者操作特征曲线下面积(AUROC)为0.75(95%CI为0.66-0.84);阳性(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV)分别为65%和80%。将模型应用于验证队列时,AUROC轻度下降至0.67(95%CI 0.55-0.79),PPV和NPV分别降至54%和80%。

在DMARD初治的新发RA患者中,更高的DAS28、目前吸烟和不饮酒是对"MTX+"升阶梯疗法反应不足的预测因子。

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